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2026 UEFA WC Qualification

HappyGuus said:
Faroe Islands beat Czechia

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Wow!

I will update my qualification permutations following the end of the window - but essentially means Croatia need just a draw from either of their final games in November (Montenegro and Faroe Islands) to seal qualification.
 
NicCarBel said:
Wow!

I will update my qualification permutations following the end of the window - but essentially means Croatia need just a draw from either of their final games in November (Montenegro and Faroe Islands) to seal qualification.
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Might use this as my central post and update/edit as things change.

So far, 4 groups in UEFA have completed the October matchdays, so I can at least give the final permutations for these ones (and funnily enough, neither group are the ones I flagged earlier)

EDIT: Updated in a separate post below
 
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I've been taking the piss out of Mrs EZ, her family and her relatives for a long time due to Italy's non participation in the past two world cups. However it seems they may actually qualify this time.
 
Some football data page post.


If 🇧🇦 BiH do not beat 🇷🇴 Romania, it will be in 🇸🇲 San Marino's best interest to LOSE to 🇷🇴 Romania last matchday by AS MANY GOALS AS POSSIBLE to maximize their chances of reaching WC playoffs via UNL.
 
JS96 said:
Some football data page post.


If 🇧🇦 BiH do not beat 🇷🇴 Romania, it will be in 🇸🇲 San Marino's best interest to LOSE to 🇷🇴 Romania last matchday by AS MANY GOALS AS POSSIBLE to maximize their chances of reaching WC playoffs via UNL.
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That would be amazing shit-housery - I just had a look at the feasibility of it, and it does check out.

Essentially, of the UNL group winners, the following are currently not in the top 2 of their group:
  1. Wales
  2. Romania
  3. Sweden
  4. Moldova
  5. San Marino
If all groups remain the way they are at the moment, and the above scenario happens, then yes - San Marino will be in a play off spot for the World Cup
 
NicCarBel

Post in thread 'WC 2026 Seedings'

I can't be bothered looking for the original - will update and copypasta this post sometime tomorrow, and then again on Wednesday afternoon (after all qualifiers for this window are complete)

CURRENT PROJECTED QUALIFICATION SLOTS (based SOLELY off Current Group Standings, and then FIFA Rankings to decide playoff participants/winners/etc

Bold = already qualified for that stage/World Cup finals
Pots + rankings to come after work (and playoff paths, I might try and work that out too as best I can)

CURRENT as of 14/10/2025 3pm AEDT

CONCACAF
  1. USA (16)
  2. Canada...
  • Like
 
Wales score early against Belgium. Belgium have to go to Kazakhstan then host Liechtenstein so 3 points absolutely guaranteed and likely 6.
 
Wow Greece have actually been eliminated. Credit to Scotland for getting a job done.
 
Kazakhstan lead in North Macedonia. Kosovo lead Sweden.

Belgium now 2:1 up in Wales. Iceland led France but on 63 it's 1:1.
 
Sweden are absolutely cooked. 1:0 loss to Kosovo and dead last.

Big teams ended up winning in the end tonight except for France with a 2:2 draw in Iceland.
 
Wales lost their World Cup qualifying group J match to Belgium 4-2 with Kevin De Bruyne scoring a brace of penalties. Liechtenstein lost 2-1 to Montenegro and are now winless after six matchdays, whilst North Macedonia drew 1-1 with Kazakhstan in the other group J fixtures.
 
Ainsley Harriott said:
How does Sweden have a front 2 of Isak and Gyokeres and only have 1 point? Thier coach must be getting potted soon.
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They probably got to a stage where they thought "oh, well - we aren't going to get top of the group, and we're going to be in the playoffs anyways - let's phone it in"
 
NicCarBel said:
UEFA (only groups that can have a guaranteed qualification this week)
  1. Group B
    1. Switzerland can qualify with a victory over Slovenia AND Kosovo failing to defeat Sweden
  2. Group D
    1. France can qualify with a victory over Iceland AND Ukraine failing to defeat Azerbaijan
  3. Group F
    1. Portugal can qualify with a victory over Hungary AND Armenia failing to defeat Republic of Ireland
  4. Group K
    1. England can qualify with a victory over Latvia
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Actually, in doing the maths, Norway can qualify overnight too: IF Italy fail to defeat Moldova AND Norway defeats Estonia
 
England 5-0 up against Latvia going into second half stoppage time and more or less guaranteed qualification for the 2026 World Cup as it stands.
 
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