There's some notable historical trends I've seen mentioned which form an interesting precedent for how this World Cup could play out, for those who enjoy curious patterns, stats, and a bit of superstition:
1) Since the 1998 tournament and the use of FIFA rankings for seeding, the #1 team by ranking at the start of the tournament has never won it; winners have always ranged from rank #2 (multiple teams) to as low as rank #18 (France 98).
2) In the era of the modern FIFA World Cup Trophy (replacing the Jules Rimet trophy in 1970), the defending champions have never defended their title.
3) In the entire history of the World Cup, every winner has been coached by someone born in the winning country.
4) In the entire history of the World Cup, every edition hosted in the western hemisphere has Brazil or Argentina as one of the finalists.
5) In the entire history of the World Cup, every edition hosted in the western hemisphere has a South American player win the Golden Ball/Best Player award.
6) In the entire history of the World Cup, the reigning Ballon d'or winner has never won it.
7) Every country to win the World Cup (with the sole exception of England 1966) has previously finished in the top three in at least one previous tournament (even the early 1930s winners Uruguay and Italy both finished top 3 in previous Olympics tournaments which preceded the creation of the World Cup).
So applying those historical patterns as superstitions to this tournament:
France are ranked #1 and have the reigning Ballon d'or winner (Dembele), so that's a double whammy.
Argentina are the defending champions bringing mostly the same core of players that won it, which historically doesn't bode well.
England, Portugal, Brazil, Morocco, Belgium, Colombia, USA, and Uruguay all have foreign born coaches.
Senegal, Mexico, and Japan (just looking at teams within the top 18 rankings) have yet to finish top three in a previous tournament.
This leaves Spain, Netherlands, Germany, and Croatia as the four remaining teams. The number #2 ranked team at the start of the tournament has won it multiple times, so that's great news for Spain.
So naturally, all signs point to a Spain vs Brazil/Argentina final, with Spain winning their 2nd title while Brazil/Argentina continue the trend of South Americans reaching finals in the western hemisphere and one of their players winning the Golden Ball. Lock it in
