Agree about both of those but...........
Giant majority for the first time in decades and they've got almost zero ambition.
Fucks sake have a crack at changing the country for the better. Reform the tax system like every review over the past 3 decades has recommended. Grandfather investment properties and cap them at 1 or 2 per investor, and a hundred other things. Increase the GST, fuck off payroll tax, increase royalties on gas and minerals, build more social housing.
Do something about fucking poker machines and sports betting. Fix aged care, introduce dental into medicare. Raise taxes if they have to. Build a sovereign wealth fund.
Reform 'jobs for the boys' where every politician is banned for 10 years as working for as a lobbyist or for a company in a related ministry they were in.
They're taking the don't do anything controversial and get re-elected route. Ridiculous.
Yes we're stable for the first time in yonks but our kids are fucked when it comes to housing and standard of living. But who cares right, they're kids.
For the first time ever that generation is going to be worse off than their parents.
Come on Albo fucking do something. Love or hate Rudd he got us the NBN and did the apology to the stolen generation. Even Tony Abbot will be remembered for stopping the boats.
There is a huge agenda to be had. But in reality that huge majority is illusory when you consider the media these days.
NACC reform - achievable now. Greens and crossbenchers will support and are in fact pushing it.
Real tax reform problematic - needs bipartisan and careful implementation because of the tie-in to super balances. but some things are achievable now. Cover dental with Medicare is something that needs to be done. Even if you have to raise the Medicare level for a while the returns on overall health will lead to lower long-term health costs over time.
The Grattan tax reforms need to be re-visited and inplemented. They will not only help with less tax foregone but the savings can be used to accelerate supply side social housing.
GST Reform is the last thing that should happen. It is a lazy and truly regressive tax that hits the poorest most. In reality we should be cutting GST incremently until it is zero. Raise higher tax brackets and limit deductions across the board.
To be honest the kids will be fine - it is the Generation Jones that have been screwed royally - born 1956-1964 at the tale of the boomers and the GEN X 1965-1980 that have will suffer the most.
This is how they were screwed,
| 1. Tax Duping: Bracket Creep + GST Shift (1996–2001) | | | | | Policy | What Howard Did | Real Effect on Battlers | | | Bracket Creep | Froze tax thresholds 1996–2000 → $8–10 bn stealth tax from wage earners | Lost $15–25/week in real income | | | GST (2000) | Abolished corporate WST → $6–8 bn p.a. corporate windfall Introduced 10% consumer tax | +2–3% price rise → $20–30/week extra | | | "GST Compensation" (2000–01) | Gave $12 bn tax cuts — half was returning bracket creep | Net loss: only $5–10/week real gain, not full offset | | | | | | | Result: | Disposable income squeezed → families borrowed more to keep up. | | | | | | | | | | | | 2. IR Duping: WorkChoices (2005–2007) | | | | | Change | What It Meant | | | | Individual contracts (AWAs) | Bosses could cut penalty rates, overtime, shift loadings | | | | Unfair dismissal weakened | Easier to sack workers with <100 employees | | | | Union power gutted | Fewer protections, wage growth slowed | | | | | | | | RBA data: Real wage growth for bottom 40% of earners fell 2005–2007 while top 10% surged. | | | | | Battlers lost bargaining power → stagnant wages → relied on debt to cover rising costs. | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3. Housing Duping: Negative Gearing + 50% CGT Discount (1999) | | | | | Policy | What Howard Did | Effect on Housing | | | Negative gearing | Kept full tax deductions for investment losses | Encouraged speculative buying | | | CGT Discount (1999) | Halved tax on gains (from 48% → 24% effective) | Flood of investors into property | | | | | | | Outcome: Housing Bubble Explodes | | | | | Metric | 1996 | 2007 | Increase | | Sydney median house | ~$220k | ~$520k | |
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136% | | | | |
| | | |
| Melbourne | ~$170k | ~$420k | |
| Avg. new loan | ~$150k | ~$300k | |
| Price-to-income ratio | 4.5x | 7.5x | |
| | | |
| Investors outbid first-home buyers → battlers locked out or forced into massive debt. | | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| 4. Debt Duping: Low Rates + Income Squeeze = Leverage Trap | | | |
| Year | RBA Cash Rate | Variable Mortgage Rate | Avg. Monthly Repayment (on $250k loan) |
| 2000 | 6.00% | ~7.0% | ~$1,650 |
| 2003 | 4.75% | ~5.5% | ~$1,400 |
| 2007 | 6.5% → 7.25% | ~8.0–8.5% | ~$2,000–$2,050 |
| | | |
| 2001–2003: Low rates → "borrow more to buy in" | | | |
| 2006–2007: Hikes → repayments up $400–600/month | | | |
| Household debt-to-income: 90% (1996) → 160% (2007) | | | |
| | | |
| RBA (2008): "Rising household leverage was driven by declining real disposable income | | | |
| growth and housing supply constraints." | | | |
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147%
[/td]
[td]
100%
[/td]
[td]
67%
[/td]
[/td]
After this you have to look at the Super changes to get the extent of the pup that was sold and how the GFC exacerbated the situation. super saved the economy not the piffling 'Future Fund' and is still much better to ride turmoil than the 'Future Fund'.
| FINAL, COMPLETE SUMMARY: The 7-Layer Dupe | | |
| Layer | Policy | Who Won | Who Lost |
| Tax | Bracket creep + GST | Corporates | Battlers |
| IR | WorkChoices | Bosses | Workers |
| Housing | NG + 50% CGT | Investors | First buyers |
| Debt | Rate hikes | Banks | Mortgagees |
| | | |
Now look at the gutting of super and the effect on intergeneration wealth Costello talked a lot but he stuffed our future. These super changes hurt. I was not a battler - I was on a decent wage.
But look at the overall scheme
Intergenerational Wealth Impact: Keating Full Super Plan vs Howard/Costello Reality1996–2050 | Full Economic & Social Accounting
CORE CONCLUSION (UPFRONT)
| Metric | Keating Full Plan (15% SG + 3% Govt) | Howard/Costello Reality (9% frozen) | Intergenerational Wealth Gap |
| Private Wealth per Retiree (2050) | $1.8M | $0.9M | +$900k |
| Public Debt per Person (2050) | –$60k (surplus) | +$85k | –$145k |
| Net Wealth Transfer (to kids) | +$1.2M (house + super) | +$0.4M | +$800k |
| Total National Wealth Gap (2050) | +$3.8T | –$1.2T | +$5.0T |
Keating = Wealth-Creating Machine
Howard/Costello = Wealth-Destroying Trap
Net Intergenerational Theft: $5 Trillion
1. Private Wealth: Super + Housing (Per Worker, 2025 $)
| Asset | Keating Plan | Howard/Costello | Gap |
| Super at 65 (2050) | $1.8M | $0.9M | +$900k |
| Home Ownership | 85% (affordable) | 60% (priced out) | +$1.2M equity |
| Total Private Wealth | $3.0M | $1.4M | +$1.6M |
Keating worker retires with $3M in assets
Costello worker: $1.4M + $400k mortgage = $1M net
2. Public Wealth: Debt & Fiscal Space
| Metric | Keating | Costello | Gap |
| Net Debt 2050 (% GDP) | –60% | +80% | –140% |
| Debt per Person | –$60k | +$85k | –$145k |
| Annual Interest Savings | $80B/year | –$60B/year | +$140B/year |
Keating = $2.2T surplus
Costello = $2.2T debt
Kids inherit cash vs tax burden
3. Wealth Transfer to Next Generation (Per Family)
| Transfer | Keating | Costello | Gap |
| Super Bequest | $1.8M | $0.9M | +$900k |
| House Bequest | $1.2M | $0.5M or $0 | +$700k |
| No Pension Drain | +$360k (lifetime) | –$360k | +$720k |
| Total to Child | $3.36M | $1.04M | +$2.32M |
4. National Wealth Gap (2050)
| Category | Keating | Costello | Gap |
| Total Super Pool | $12T | $6T | +$6T |
| Housing Equity | $15T | $10T | +$5T |
| Public Surplus | +$2.2T | –$2.2T | +$4.4T |
| Total National Wealth | +$29.2T | +$13.8T | +$15.4T |
Keating = $15T richer Australia
Costello = $15T poorer
5. Inequality Impact (Gini Coefficient)
| Year | Keating | Costello | Gap |
| 2007 | 0.30 | 0.32 | –0.02 |
| 2024 | 0.28 | 0.35 | –0.07 |
| 2050 | 0.25 | 0.40 | –0.15 |
Keating = fairer society
Costello = boomer vs millennial war
6. Real-World Proof: 2025 Snapshot
| Metric | Actual (Costello Path) | Keating Counterfactual | Gap |
| Median Super (55–64) | $200k | $520k | +$320k |
| Home Ownership (25–34) | 35% | 65% | –30% |
| Net Debt | 20% GDP | –10% GDP | –30% |
7. The $5 Trillion Intergenerational Theft
| Theft Type | Amount | Per Person |
| Super Lost | $6T | $230k |
| Housing Lost | $5T | $190k |
| Debt Added | $4.4T | $170k |
| Total | $15.4T | $590k |
Every Australian born after 1980 lost ~$590,000 in lifetime wealth
Because Howard/Costello froze super at 9%
This is the big one for me.
4. National Wealth Gap (2050)
| Category | Keating | Costello | Gap |
| Total Super Pool | $12T | $6T | +$6T |
| Housing Equity | $15T | $10T | +$5T |
| Public Surplus | +$2.2T | –$2.2T | +$4.4T |
| Total National Wealth | +$29.2T | +$13.8T | +$15.4T |
Keating = $15T richer Australia
Costello = $15T poorer
FINAL VERDICT: The $1.2 Trillion Lie
| Claim | Truth |
| "Keating plan was unaffordable" | False — cost <1% GDP, saved >2% |
| "Howard saved the budget" | False — created $1.2T debt hole |
| "Super grew anyway" | True — despite Howard, not because of him |
Keating’s plan would have:
- Paid for itself in 7 years
- Made Australia debt-free by 2040 and adds 1.5% of GDP to the surplus each year
- Saved $1.2T in debt interest alone
Howard/Costello chose surpluses in 2007… and deficits forever.
Battlers paid with their super. Their kids pay with debt.
Keating’s vision was fiscal gold. Costello buried it.
Now think what could be done with that extra 1.5% of GDP year on year. Dental on Medicare, increased investment in housing, raising the rate on support payments, proper aged care. Age pension itself would be disappearing to a very large extent as the population grows older.
These decisions were made years ago and hamstring today’s decisions. You just can’t play at the edges but it is dangerous for a government to do anything else given todays media bias.
It needs bi-partisan support for action – but that will never happen when the ‘great Liberal PM and Treasurer' are implicated in such a monumental fuck up.