I wrote a fan view about this, to get 15k consistently we would have to buck global trends across hundreds of countries and leagues about the relationship between top tier attendances and both wages and participation rates
When I first contacted Stefan Szymanski and I asked him a question about his model for national team's success, he thought I was looking for world cup tips! He assured me that Transfermarkt values are a better indicator of quality than pretty much anything else out there. So I was curious. Are...
franchises in football often start big but nearly always decline over time. The initial boom is an overperformance that seems to be followed by a reversion to the mean. That overperformance seems to deceive fans and administrators into thinking the initial boom is the floor rather than the ceiling (and a ceiling that is very difficult to reach again). That was true in both the a league and nsl era. Take even the MLS where they can raise wages over time due to increasing the price of license sales and redistribute that money to clubs. The salary cap has doubled since 2014. But the 18 clubs that were there in 2014 and still here today, their average crowds have only grown by 189 despite doubling the wages and having marquees coming out of their ears.