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WC 2026 Seedings

I think we have to be contempt with being in pot 3, if we are good enough to beat the sides in front of us then it doesn't matter.
 
If Turkey and/or Ukraine win their group, it would kick out France and Spain. So Australia’s relative position would not change if Turkey and Ukraine move ahead. It would make pot 4 potentially much stronger though.
Correct.

I think the only way it would affect us being in Pot 2/3 is Turkey, as they would jump ahead of us, so France being in Pot 4 would be a moot point.

Either way, assuming the Argentina game goes ahead, we need the first friendly to be strong enough and winnable.
 
As well as seedings it will be interesting to see the final draw mechanics in terms of pot draw order and restrictions with respect to the Inter Continental Qualifiers who won't be known as at the time of the main draw in December.

FIFA ignored the geographic constraints for 3 * IC qualifiers from 10 playoff countries for the 2023 Women's World Cup. So this saw Jamaica and Panama drawn into same group in Group F.
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Two qualifiers from 6 playoff countries makes it easier to keep the geographic constraints so NA, AFC, CAF and SA teams in pots 1-3 are kept separate, basically by drawing the IC qualifiers into groups with 2 EUFA teams or 1 EUFA plus a combo of 2 from CAF/SA/AFC provided the IC qualifier draw is done before the main draw.
 
As well as seedings it will be interesting to see the final draw mechanics in terms of pot draw order and restrictions with respect to the Inter Continental Qualifiers who won't be known as at the time of the main draw in December.

FIFA ignored the geographic constraints for 3 * IC qualifiers from 10 playoff countries for the 2023 Women's World Cup. So this saw Jamaica and Panama drawn into same group in Group F.
View attachment 3737
Two qualifiers from 6 playoff countries makes it easier to keep the geographic constraints so NA, AFC, CAF and SA teams in pots 1-3 are kept separate, basically by drawing the IC qualifiers into groups with 2 EUFA teams or 1 EUFA plus a combo of 2 from CAF/SA/AFC provided the IC qualifier draw is done before the main draw.
Yeah that's a good point actually. I hate this fucking playoff bullshit. Just do the matches in time before the draw like we used to. There's plenty of space in the calendar for it - but no, we have to have the Who Cares Cup every two years taking up 8 matchdays
 
USA hold and host so many CONCACAF tournaments already I think it would be rubbish for them to get a Costa Rica/Suriname/Panama from Pot 4 just because they fluke a playoff win while the USA won't draw a NA team from Pot 4 who directly qualifies. Same point for Canada and Mexico who play these teams regularly in WC qualifying, Nations League and Gold Cups.

If restrictions happen then it means the USA/Canada/Mexico are slightly more likely to draw a strong Euro team from Pot 4 then I think that is actually a good outcome for all 48 teams.

Particularly with a Round of 32 in place where SA/NA/AFC/CAF teams will be regularly meeting their rivals in that round and potentially the round of 16.

And if Bolivia manage to qualify via the ICQ surely they deserve a group without another SA team after waiting 32 years to qualify for their 4th world cup finals.
 
Hmm.. taking a look at it, they might do a thing where the Intercontinental Playoff spot can only go to a group that has two European nations from the first pots. I know in the past they've had a method where they just skip groups if the next group doesn't meet the requirements for that nation to be drawn into.

I also remember when Serbia & Montenegro were in a pot of their own in 2026 (because there were 9 unseeded UEFA nations - back when the pots were split geographically)
 
FIFA ignored the geographic constraints for 3 * IC qualifiers from 10 playoff countries for the 2023 Women's World Cup. So this saw Jamaica and Panama drawn into same group in Group F.
They didn't ignore them, they assumed the highest seeded team would win and applied that to the geographical restrictions. When this didn't happen it resulted in two CONCACAF teams in the same group. Only FIFA knows what they will do this time for the draw.
 
I assume this is the way they'll do it again:

Teams from the same confederation could not be drawn into the same group except for UEFA teams, for which there was at least one and no more than two per group. This principle also applied to the placeholder teams, with constraints applying based on the confederation of both potential winners of each play-off tie. The draw started with pot 1 and ended with pot 4, with each team selected then allocated into the first available group alphabetically.
With 12 groups, I'm sure there's a way for them to do some group-skips to make it fit. Eg, the UEFA playoff groups can only go to groups that (when it gets to Pot 4) only have 1 UEFA nation in them.

As for the two intercontinental playoffs.. well, I assume the draw for that will be done by then, so they'll be able to know which confederations they could be and perform the draw accordingly.

Then again, it is FIFA. Someone will probably stuff up somewhere.
 
 
Rumour alert:


Oh what now? 06 had the last two world cups and ranking considered. What it secretly did was made it very convenient to avoid confederation clashes. What annoys me about ranking, albeit fair, is that once a few teams are drawn the computer shows the possible combinations pretty quickly.
 
Ok with that our group of life would be Canada, Iran, Cabo Verde/Jamaica
Group of death: Argentina, Germany, Tunisia
 
Ok with that our group of life would be Canada, Iran, Cabo Verde/Jamaica
Group of death: Argentina, Germany, Tunisia
I don’t think there can be two Asian confederation teams (us and Iran) in one group, is that correct? Similar for two CONCACAF teams (Canada and Jamaica)?
 
I don’t think there can be two Asian confederation teams (us and Iran) in one group, is that correct? Similar for two CONCACAF teams (Canada and Jamaica)?
Not sure, thats been true previously
 
Maybe no more than 2 teams per confederation per group could work this time. I say that because facing each other at a world cup is totally different and can add to the history. I guess the knockout stages provides that. Brazil, Uruguay, Norway, South Africa would be a great group.
 
Maybe no more than 2 teams per confederation per group could work this time. I say that because facing each other at a world cup is totally different and can add to the history. I guess the knockout stages provides that. Brazil, Uruguay, Norway, South Africa would be a great group.
This article


states that no teams from the same confederation, except UEFA, can be placed in the same group.
 
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