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WC 2026 Seedings

If the WC draw was today Socceroos would be in Pot 2

Based on assumptions
Might be hard to hold onto. We will only have friendlies before the draw and will need to win them all. Others below have qualifiers which will attract higher ranking points
 
Wouldn't mind seeing a super computer show certain teams are much less likely in order to avoid confederation clashes. I think it's vital we get pot 2.

A group of Spain Uruguay and Italy will hurt despite the blockbuster clashes.
 
Shit Bolivia beat Brazil to make the playoffs. Reading this affects our Pot 2 chances?
 
Ecuador will knock the Socceroo's out of Pot 2 with the latest FIFA ranking to come as WCQ rate higher in points then friendly's.
 

 
If Germany or Austria doesn't quality do we pretty much have pot 2 secured?
 
If Germany or Austria doesn't quality do we pretty much have pot 2 secured?
A lot depends on how we go in our friendlies but if Austria Germany and Italy all don't qualify directly I think we make pot 2. If only two of them it depends how well Panama go in their last 4 qualifiers. A couple of the European teams below us could still get past us in rankings but it won't have much of an effect on pots as if they qualify directly they would push another team above us into pot 4.
 
Disclaimer* - bold nations are already qualified - confirmed for the playoff stage. These are SOLELY using the current standings of WCQ groups - the only exception will be the rest of AFC as this has not started (using seeds as the basis)

Have updated as of September 2025 official FIFA Rankings

Intercontinental Playoffs

  • Iraq (58)
  • Bolivia (77)
  • New Caledonia (150)
  • Congo DR (60)
  • El Salvador (88)
  • Curacao (90)
AFC
  • Japan (19)
  • Iran (21)
  • Uzbekistan (54)
  • South Korea (23)
  • Jordan (62)
  • Australia (25)
  • Qatar (53)
  • Saudi Arabia (59)
CONMEBOL
  • Argentina (3)
  • Brazil (6)
  • Ecuador (24)
  • Uruguay (15)
  • Colombia (13)
  • Paraguay (37)
OFC
  • New Zealand (83)
CAF
  • Morocco (11)
  • Egypt (35)
  • Senegal (18)
  • South Africa (55)
  • Cape Verde (70)
  • Ivory Coast (44)
  • Algeria (38)
  • Tunisia (46)
  • Ghana (75)
UEFA
  • Slovakia (42)
  • Switzerland (17)
  • Denmark (20)
  • France (2)
  • Spain (1)
  • Portugal (5)
  • Netherlands (7)
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina (73)
  • Norway (31)
  • North Macedonia (63)
  • England (4)
  • Croatia (9)
UEFA Playoffs (will be unseeded in Pot 4)
  • Germany (11)
  • Italy (10)
  • Belgium (8)
  • Austria (22)
CONCACAF
  • USA (host) (16)
  • Mexico (host) (14)
  • Canada (host) (26)
  • Suriname (131)
  • Jamaica (69)
  • Costa Rica (47)
PROJECTED POTS


POT 1
  • USA (16) (Host)
  • Mexico (14) (Host)
  • Canada (26) (Host)
  • Spain (1)
  • France (2)
  • Argentina (3)
  • England (4)
  • Portugal (5)
  • Brazil (6)
  • Netherlands (7)
  • Croatia (9)
  • Morocco (11)
POT 2
  • Colombia (13)
  • Uruguay (15)
  • Switzerland (17)
  • Senegal (18)
  • Japan (19)
  • Denmark (20)
  • Iran (21)
  • South Korea (23)
  • Ecuador (24)
  • Australia (25)
  • Norway (31)
  • Egypt (35)
POT 3
  • Paraguay (37)
  • Algeria (38)
  • Slovakia (42)
  • Ivory Coast (44)
  • Tunisia (46)
  • Costa Rica (47)
  • Qatar (53)
  • Uzbekistan (54)
  • South Africa (55)
  • Saudi Arabia (59)
  • Jordan (62)
POT 4
  • Iraq (58) (Playoff)
  • Congo DR (60) (Playoff)
  • Germany (11) (Playoff)
  • Italy (10) (Playoff)
  • Belgium (8) (Playoff)
  • Austria (22) (Playoff)
  • Jamaica (69)
  • Cape Verde (70)
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina (73)
  • Ghana (75)
  • New Zealand (83)
  • Suriname (131)
Assuming a 1 v (4v5) and 2 v (3v6) fixture for playoffs, using that projection, the playoffs will be:

Iraq v (Curacao v El Salvador)
Congo DR v (Bolivia v New Caledonia)
 
Disclaimer* - bold nations are already qualified - confirmed for the playoff stage. These are SOLELY using the current standings of WCQ groups - the only exception will be the rest of AFC as this has not started (using seeds as the basis)

Have updated as of September 2025 official FIFA Rankings

Intercontinental Playoffs

  • Iraq (58)
  • Bolivia (77)
  • New Caledonia (150)
  • Congo DR (60)
  • El Salvador (88)
  • Curacao (90)
AFC
  • Japan (19)
  • Iran (21)
  • Uzbekistan (54)
  • South Korea (23)
  • Jordan (62)
  • Australia (25)
  • Qatar (53)
  • Saudi Arabia (59)
CONMEBOL
  • Argentina (3)
  • Brazil (6)
  • Ecuador (24)
  • Uruguay (15)
  • Colombia (13)
  • Paraguay (37)
OFC
  • New Zealand (83)
CAF
  • Morocco (11)
  • Egypt (35)
  • Senegal (18)
  • South Africa (55)
  • Cape Verde (70)
  • Ivory Coast (44)
  • Algeria (38)
  • Tunisia (46)
  • Ghana (75)
UEFA
  • Slovakia (42)
  • Switzerland (17)
  • Denmark (20)
  • France (2)
  • Spain (1)
  • Portugal (5)
  • Netherlands (7)
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina (73)
  • Norway (31)
  • North Macedonia (63)
  • England (4)
  • Croatia (9)
UEFA Playoffs (will be unseeded in Pot 4)
  • Germany (11)
  • Italy (10)
  • Belgium (8)
  • Austria (22)
CONCACAF
  • USA (host) (16)
  • Mexico (host) (14)
  • Canada (host) (26)
  • Suriname (131)
  • Jamaica (69)
  • Costa Rica (47)
PROJECTED POTS


POT 1
  • USA (16) (Host)
  • Mexico (14) (Host)
  • Canada (26) (Host)
  • Spain (1)
  • France (2)
  • Argentina (3)
  • England (4)
  • Portugal (5)
  • Brazil (6)
  • Netherlands (7)
  • Croatia (9)
  • Morocco (11)
POT 2
  • Colombia (13)
  • Uruguay (15)
  • Switzerland (17)
  • Senegal (18)
  • Japan (19)
  • Denmark (20)
  • Iran (21)
  • South Korea (23)
  • Ecuador (24)
  • Australia (25)
  • Norway (31)
  • Egypt (35)
POT 3
  • Paraguay (37)
  • Algeria (38)
  • Slovakia (42)
  • Ivory Coast (44)
  • Tunisia (46)
  • Costa Rica (47)
  • Qatar (53)
  • Uzbekistan (54)
  • South Africa (55)
  • Saudi Arabia (59)
  • Jordan (62)
POT 4
  • Iraq (58) (Playoff)
  • Congo DR (60) (Playoff)
  • Germany (11) (Playoff)
  • Italy (10) (Playoff)
  • Belgium (8) (Playoff)
  • Austria (22) (Playoff)
  • Jamaica (69)
  • Cape Verde (70)
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina (73)
  • Ghana (75)
  • New Zealand (83)
  • Suriname (131)
Assuming a 1 v (4v5) and 2 v (3v6) fixture for playoffs, using that projection, the playoffs will be:

Iraq v (Curacao v El Salvador)
Congo DR v (Bolivia v New Caledonia)
Using these pots, I think the dream draw would be:
Canada, Australia, South Africa and New Zealand (or Suriname, but the fact of an Aus v NZ game at a World Cup is a dream of mine).

The worst?
Anyone that's not a host or Morocco, Australia, Paraguay/Algeria, Any of the UEFA playoff winners.
 
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