Ok so here are my hot takes, get them while they are spicy
1) Victory crowd averages are incredible, even when taking into account they had monopoly access to Melbourne
2) Franchises tend to decline over time, Adelaide United and SFC seem to be the only exceptions
3) Even after decline a lot of them have pretty impressive crowds given where we are at as a football nation
4) NSL crowd averages were actually fine, especially with a lower participation rate back then and less frequent roos games due to being in asia. Even some powerhouses have comparable crowd
averages . Nothing wrong with 3-5k
5) The reality is, the top division in football just isn't a glamour product like other codes. Even the EPL barely beats the AFL in crowd averages
6) where football does better is having a better total community (add up all the crowds in Englands 14 divisions compared to AFL and the difference is more stark) and having the most mature international game
7) An NST has "a point" if it serves the football community and improves our international game
8) An NST serves the football community because, unlike the A league, it is a realistic target for all 2000 clubs if they are ambitious enough. Giving every club the goal of being the best community club in Australia is a goal and so meets the first criteria in point 7
9) An NST gives a modest boost to long term national team performance, about the same as a home and away national youth league, by giving an extra pathway and introducing players earlier (about 60-80 elo points). So it meets the 2nd criteria in point 7
10) it does not need to have any crowds
whatsoever to meet criteria 8 and 9
11) Every club that would be able to play on the national stage if there were no minimum requirements, but is not allowed to is a wasted resource. Need to gather every club that can play and let them with no requirements on them
whatsoever. Just let them play
12) If the NST is popular enough to get big enough crowds to compete with the A league that is a good problem to have
Not sure who I swung at, but enough spicy takes to make a vindaloo