Punchanello
Rotation Player
- Joined
- Jun 23, 2026
- Replies
- 311
The success the Libs have had since Howard is based on two things. Simultaneously fanning culture war and grievance while presenting themselves as the "sensible" centre right on business and the economy. The audience for culture war is driven by a completely different set of values that over time have been incompatible with the Liberal's centre right instincts. You simply can't govern from out there in an electoral system like ours. Even without a preference system, growing inequality seems here to stay and it's feeding right wing populism which is an insatiable beast. It has no answers, there is no end goal except for the elite to profit from it and tear down any public-interest that stands in the way of their greed.If the Coalition keeps being useless at federal (and in some states state level) it begs the question where the predicted Liberal seats are coming from. Moderate voters? Popular MPs? Completely random?
Courting the far right is pointless, so Hastie is probably the only credible option for the Libs if they are to be anything more than a footnote in the next decade. Hastie has a better chance of winning centre ground back I think the Libs are in an existential crisis.
Labor is attempting to govern from that central ground that used to be the Libs territory. But the warning for Labor is that they risk replicating the errors of the Libs on the centre left. Having it both ways. Neither party is backed by a popular base anymore. There is no voice at those tables for workers and small business owners.
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