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World Cup 2026 Australia thread

These 3rd placed rankings are slowly tightening. Here's hoping Bosnia and Qatar draw and group A has no surprises.
 
Really getting concerned if we lose by 2 goals or even 1. Advancement would be undeserved then but a free hit would be nice.

Hopefully we get a bit of luck with group B and A and C are already below us. Group E and F potentially too. We'll know so much more so we'll be able to adapt to hold on for a draw.
 
HonestSpursFan said:
Czechia being that low should ring alarm bells for them. They really should be at least going through to the round of 32.
Click to expand...
I think we learned the 4 playoff spots for UEFA are a joke. While they'd likely beat many from the other confederations who didn't qualify. CAF should have gotten one or two more.
 
Now comes the part where I'll look at third places - and I'm probably going to do this specifically for Socceroos. I'm going to assume they lose to Paraguay for this to be a thing. So for Socceroos to lose AND qualify for the 32, we'd need 4 of the scenarios below to happen. This does not cover all scenarios, but merely the most simple ones (ie, ones that don't pertain to goal difference unless we are already at that point).
  • Group A
    • Both Czechia and South Africa failing to win their match
  • Group B
    • Both Bosnia & Herzergovina and Qatar failing to win their match
  • Group C
    • Scotland to lose by either a higher margin than us, or by the same margin but without scoring more goals than us.
  • Group E
    • Ivory Coast to lose by either a higher margin than us, or by the same margin but scoring less goals (eg, we lose 2-1, but they lose 1-0), OR
    • Both Ecuador and Curacao failing to win their match
  • Group F
    • Sweden to lose by a higher margin than us, or by the same margin with us scoring 5 goals more (eg, we lose 7-6, but they lose 1-0)
  • Group G
    • Egypt to defeat Iran, AND
    • New Zealand to defeat Belgium
  • Group H
    • Spain to defeat Uruguay, AND
    • Saudi Arabia to defeat Cape Verde
  • Group I
    • Senegal to defeat Iraq by up to 2 goals more than our loss to Paraguay (eg if Senegal win 1-0, we can lose by up to 3), we progress OR
    • Iraq to defeat Senegal by up to 5 goals more than our loss to Paraguay (eg if Iraq win 1-0, we can lose by up to 5-0), OR
    • Senegal and Iraq draw
  • Group J
    • Austria to defeat Algeria, OR
    • Algeria to lose by either a higher margin than us, or by the same margin but scoring less goals (eg, we lose 2-1, but they lose 1-0)
  • Group K
    • DR Congo and Uzbekistan to draw, OR
    • Uzbekistan to defeat DR Congo by up to 6 goals more than our loss to Paraguay
  • Group L
    • Croatia to lose by a higher or same margin than our loss to Paraguay
Please feel free to poke any holes - it's 1am and I'm tired but not asleep, so may have some things a bit wrong.
 
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