This a repost from the other thread...
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I believe we want the US to win 1-0. We DO NOT want Paraguay to win, because that will severely diminish our chances of making third place. We want Paraguay to lose both games against the US and Turkey as our best safety net, meaning we only need to beat them in the final game to have a strong chance to make it through in third-place.
If Paraguay win, another danger is the effect on the US team when they against the Socceroos. The US will enter our match with a dangerous, desperate and firey intensity which could hurt us easily. I'd rather play them when they're more comfortable not when their attack is trying anything to score a goal, we will not win.
A draw is another possible result, it's okay but it gives both teams life which could hurt us later if results go a certain way where Turkey, US and Paraguay all go into the last match-day on 2-4 points and Paraguay now only needs to draw against us instead of win to go through.
I think mentally, you want the better team to win first and sacrifice one team in the group that you are hoping to lose both of their other games. We simply need to root against Paraguay in both of their games.
Obviously, we control our own destiny but it would be nice to have a safety net if we lose our first two games. Bank on Paraguay losing as well so we just need to beat them to have a strong chance to make it out.
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