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World Cup Qualifying 2026 - CONCACAF

NicCarBel

NicCarBel

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Oct 17, 2024
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Realised that CONCACAF doesn't have it's own qualifying thread. Round 2 has finished up, meaning that the next international window will be the beginning of the final round.

Round 2 Standings

2026 FIFA World Cup qualification – CONCACAF second round - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org en.wikipedia.org

Round 3 groups
  • Winners of each group to qualify directly
  • Two highest ranked of the three runner-ups will advance to the FIFA Playoff Tournament
GROUP A
  • Panama - 33
  • El Salvador - 81
  • Guatemala - 106
  • Suriname - 137
GROUP B
  • Jamaica - 63
  • Curacao - 90
  • Trinidad and Tobago - 100
  • Bermuda - 168
GROUP C
  • Costa Rica - 54
  • Honduras - 75
  • Haiti - 83
  • Nicaragua - 133

Just some little stats - This is 11 of the next 12 highest ranked CONCACAF nations (after the hosts), with Bermuda being the lowest ranked. The countries in between Bermuda and Suriname (the next lowest ranked nation remaining) are: Dominican Republic, St Kitts and Nevis, Guyana, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Bermuda, St Lucia, Cuba


Updated projected FIFA Playoff tournament competitors now following the completion of the June window. This has been done using the current standings (where applicable) and then the current official FIFA rankings where there are no standings.

OFC - New Caledonia (confirmed)
AFC - Iraq
CONMEBOL - Venezuela
CAF - Senegal
CONCACAF 1 - Honduras
CONCACAF 2 - El Salvador
 
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NicCarBel

Post in thread '2026 UEFA WC Qualification'

Am doing this here first, as this is the one that will be most affected

Disclaimer* - bold nations are already qualified - confirmed for the playoff stage. These are SOLELY using the current standings of WCQ groups - the only exception will be the rest of AFC as this has not started (using seeds as the basis)

EDIT: Have updated as of 10 Sep 2025 AM AEST

Intercontinental Playoffs

  • Iraq (58)
  • Bolivia (80)
  • New Caledonia (150)
  • Congo DR (60)
  • El Salvador (88)
  • Curacao (84)

AFC
  • Japan (18)
  • Iran (21)
  • Uzbekistan...
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It’s safe to chalk off my old homeland 🇸🇻 as out of the race; hurts to admit but it’s the truth. If the national FA(FESFUT) are fair-dinkum about the project for 2030 qualification, best to concentrate on that.
 
BA81 said:
It’s safe to chalk off my old homeland 🇸🇻 as out of the race; hurts to admit but it’s the truth. If the national FA(FESFUT) are fair-dinkum about the project for 2030 qualification, best to concentrate on that.
Click to expand...
I mean.. still 4 games left, and only 1 point behind..

Next window is both games at home though, so that's a crucial 6 points needed there I think.
 
NicCarBel said:
I mean.. still 4 games left, and only 1 point behind..

Next window is both games at home though, so that's a crucial 6 points needed there I think.
Click to expand...
We’ll see, but my hopes are all but gone already.
 
Only normal it's so tough given 3 CONCACAF teams are hosting but Suriname are on a roll.
 
I'm going to assume the regular process will be the same, but top 2 from each group qualify (with the caveat there will be a USA, Canada or Mexico in each group) - but I guess we won't find that out until 2027
 
Group A – MD 3 & MD 4 kickoff times,

Saturday October 11th:
8.00am AEDT Suriname v Guatemala
12.00pm AEDT El Salvador v Panama

Wednesday October 15th:
12.00pm AEDT Panama v Suriname
1.00pm AEDT El Salvador v Guatemala

Group B – MD 3 & MD 4 kickoff times,

Saturday October 11th:
9.00am AEDT Bermuda v Trinidad and Tobago
10.00am AEDT Curaçao v Jamaica

Wednesday October 15th:
10.00am AEDT Curaçao v Trinidad and Tobago
11.00am AEDT Jamaica v Bermuda

Group C – MD 3 & MD 4 kickoff times,

Friday October 10th:
11.00am AEDT Nicaragua v Haiti
1.00am AEDT Honduras v Costa Rica

Tuesday October 14th:
11.00am AEDT Honduras v Haiti
1.00pm AEDT Costa Rica v Nicaragua
 
NicCarBel

Post in thread 'WC 2026 Seedings'

I can't be bothered looking for the original - will update and copypasta this post sometime tomorrow, and then again on Wednesday afternoon (after all qualifiers for this window are complete)

CURRENT PROJECTED QUALIFICATION SLOTS (based SOLELY off Current Group Standings, and then FIFA Rankings to decide playoff participants/winners/etc

Bold = already qualified for that stage/World Cup finals
Pots + rankings to come after work (and playoff paths, I might try and work that out too as best I can)

CURRENT as of 14/10/2025 3pm AEDT

CONCACAF
  1. USA (16)
  2. Canada...
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Seedings updated above as of today's international fixtures.

Heading into the final round - here is how things play out (Only doing Group C at the moment, will do A and B after tomorrow's fixtures)

Group C
  • Honduras 8 (+5), Costa Rica 6 (+3), Haiti 5 (0) all mathematically able to qualify directly.
  • Final matchday sees Costa Rica host Honduras
  • Honduras will qualify after matchday one IF
    • Costa Rica fails to defeat Haiti AND
    • Honduras defeats Nicaragua
  • Costa Rica will qualify IF
    • Costa Rica defeats Honduras on matchday two AND
    • Costa Rica defeats Haiti on matchday one
  • Haiti will qualify IF
    • Haiti defeats Costa Rica on matchday one AND
    • Nicaragua fails to defeat Haiti on matchday two AND
    • Honduras doesn't win either of their two matches
  • There's probably other calculations, but it is quite open to list them all
 
Group B
  • Jamaica 1 point ahead of Curacao - they play eachother on the final matchday.
  • Jamaica will qualify after matchday one IF:
    • Jamaica defeats Trinidad & Tobago, AND
    • Bermuda defeats Curacao
  • T&T in third still mathematically can make it, however they'd need the following all to happen if I have my scenarios right:
    • T&T defeats Jamaica on MD1,
    • Curacao failing to defeat Bermuda on MD1,
    • Curacao and Jamaica to draw on MD2,
    • T&T to defeat Bermuda on MD2
 
Group A

Suriname with another foot in the door : 1-0 up at halftime over Panama... This will put them 2 points clear of El Salvador (assuming an El Salvador win - but their match against Guatemala has just kicked off) heading into the final two matches
 
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PANAMA DRAW LEVEL IN 6th MINUTE OF STOPPAGE TIME

An El Salvador win (0-0 with Guatemala at HT at the moment) will throw the group wide open on the final matchdays...
 
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